> THE_SIGNAL

market anomaly intelligence // 73 tickers | Medium sensitivity | 365d lookback | updated 2026-04-03 18:33 UTC
Wall Street spends billions on the tools you're about to use for free. THE SIGNAL runs PhD-level anomaly detection — Fourier transforms, matrix profiles, statistical ensembles, and EWMA trend analysis — across 73 tickers every single day. The same math that powers institutional trading desks, democratized and delivered to your browser. Right now: 518 anomalies detected, 21 actionable signals. 31 new signal(s) since last scan.
The noise is what they sell you. The signal is what we extract.
73
Monitored ?
518
Anomalies ?
21
Actionable ?
31
New This Run
365d
Lookback
Tickers Monitored
73 stocks and funds tracked across 10 strategic categories:
Engines of the Republic — the companies that build, feed, and finance America
Critical Choke Points — gatekeepers of energy, payments, logistics, and tech
Big Tech — highest signal density, highest retail interest
Consumer Leaders — defensive plays with massive brand moats
Financial Titans — the banks and asset managers that move money
Healthcare & Pharma — the companies keeping people alive
Energy & Commodities — when geopolitics moves, these move first
Wall Street's Darlings — the ETFs and index funds they want you to buy
These aren't random picks — they're the pillars and pressure points of the economy.
Anomalies Detected
An anomaly is a trading day where 2+ independent detection methods agree that price behavior is statistically unusual. The four methods are: Fourier Transform (rhythm shift), Matrix Profile (novel pattern), Statistical Ensemble (z-score + seasonal + isolation forest), and EWMA Trend (momentum deviation). When the machines agree, pay attention.
Actionable Signals
Signals with a clear directional call: Buy (oversold, mean-reversion), Sell (overbought), Long (upward momentum), or Short (downward momentum). Excludes Watch (awaiting confirmation) and Reduce (regime change detected).
Severity Score
Max consensus anomaly score in the last 14 trading days. Scale: 0 (completely normal) to 1 (extreme anomaly). This is a weighted blend of all four detection methods.
Attention Queue
The heatmap shows the last 14 trading days of anomaly intensity for every ticker. Red = high anomaly score. Hover over any cell to see which detection methods fired and what signal was generated. Composite ranking combines: recency (30pts), severity (40pts), streak (15pts), and signal strength (15pts).
Trading Signals
Derived from anomaly profiles: Buy/Sell are mean-reversion (price extended from trend, momentum fading). Long/Short are momentum (breakout with accelerating force). Confidence = how many methods agree: Strong (3-4), Moderate (2), Developing (1). These signals are NOT financial advice — they're what the data is saying.
Signal Performance
BASELINE = $10k long in every ticker from day one of the observation window. When a signal fires, it adds another $10k trade on top: BUY/LONG = $10k long. SELL/SHORT = $10k short. All positions marked to current price. Methods = which detection algorithms triggered the signal (Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA).
Fourier Transform
Decomposes price into frequency components using FFT. Detects when the stock's cyclical pattern shifts from its historical baseline via KL divergence of spectral energy distributions. Answers: "Has the stock's rhythm fundamentally changed?"
Matrix Profile
For every recent 10-day window, finds the best historical match. If even the best match is poor, the pattern is genuinely novel. Uses the STUMPY library. Answers: "Is this stock doing something it has never done?"
Statistical Ensemble
Combines three independent tests: Z-score (40%) measures standard deviations from mean, Seasonal decomposition (30%) isolates residuals after removing trend/seasonality, Isolation Forest ML (30%) detects multivariate outliers. Answers: "Do independent statistical tests agree?"
EWMA Trend
Measures deviation from the 20-day exponentially weighted moving average. Classifies trajectory: breakout (>80% of range), accelerating (slope >0.02), decelerating, or normal. Answers: "Is the current momentum abnormal?"
01 Attention Queue — 14-Day Anomaly Map ?

Start here. This heatmap shows the last 14 trading days across all 73 tickers. Each cell's color represents the anomaly score — darker means normal, red means something moved. Hover over any cell to see which detection methods fired and whether a trading signal was generated. Click a ticker to deep-dive.

02 Trading Signals ?

When an anomaly is detected, THE SIGNAL translates it into a directional call. Green = buy opportunity (price is below where the math says it should be). Red = sell signal (price has overextended). Confidence tells you how many independent methods agree. Click any row to see the full chart.

Buy
Sell
Long
Short
Reduce
Watch
Signal Conf Ticker Date Close Methods Description
Watch NEW Moderate
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-04-02 $91.42
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy NEW Moderate
NKE
Nike
2026-04-02 $44.19
Nike (NKE) is trading 16.2% below its 20-day moving average ($52.73). Selling pressure is fading, suggesting a potential bounce back toward the trend line. Consider entering a long position targeting the $52.73 moving average.
Watch NEW Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-04-02 $321.63
Home Depot (HD) is trading 4.3% below its 20-day moving average ($336.21). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
MCD
McDonald's
2026-04-02 $307.14
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 2.3% below its 20-day moving average ($314.30). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-04-02 $231.03
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 3.6% below its 20-day moving average ($239.63). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
NKE
Nike
2026-04-01 $44.63
Nike (NKE) is trading 16.8% below its 20-day moving average ($53.63). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $53.63 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $53.63 moving average.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-04-01 $91.40
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MCD
McDonald's
2026-04-01 $307.29
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 2.5% below its 20-day moving average ($315.06). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-04-01 $329.56
Home Depot (HD) is trading 2.4% below its 20-day moving average ($337.75). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-31 $91.64
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-31 $328.89
Home Depot (HD) is trading 2.9% below its 20-day moving average ($338.61). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-30 $91.64
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-30 $323.50
Home Depot (HD) is trading 4.8% below its 20-day moving average ($339.64). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
VGT
Vanguard Info Tech ETF
2026-03-30 $668.70
Vanguard Info Tech ETF (VGT) is trading 6.1% below its 20-day moving average ($712.04). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
QQQ
Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq 100)
2026-03-30 $558.28
Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq 100) (QQQ) is trading 5.1% below its 20-day moving average ($588.37). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
IWM
iShares Russell 2000
2026-03-30 $239.61
iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) is trading 4.0% below its 20-day moving average ($249.49). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
2026-03-30 $63.52
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is trading 9.1% below its 20-day moving average ($69.87). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
GE
GE Aerospace
2026-03-30 $273.25
GE Aerospace (GE) is trading 9.1% below its 20-day moving average ($300.52). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-30 $232.58
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 3.7% below its 20-day moving average ($241.51). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
META
Meta Platforms
2026-03-30 $536.38
Meta Platforms (META) is trading 10.8% below its 20-day moving average ($601.51). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
AAPL
Apple
2026-03-30 $246.63
Apple (AAPL) is trading 3.0% below its 20-day moving average ($254.16). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
DE
Deere & Company
2026-03-30 $553.88
Deere & Company (DE) is trading 4.1% below its 20-day moving average ($577.74). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-27 $91.63
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy NEW Moderate
META
Meta Platforms
2026-03-27 $525.72
Meta Platforms (META) is trading 13.6% below its 20-day moving average ($608.37). Selling pressure is fading, suggesting a potential bounce back toward the trend line. Consider entering a long position targeting the $608.37 moving average.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-27 $321.65
Home Depot (HD) is trading 5.8% below its 20-day moving average ($341.33). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy NEW Moderate
SBUX
Starbucks
2026-03-27 $86.81
Starbucks (SBUX) is trading 8.2% below its 20-day moving average ($94.56). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $94.56 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $94.56 moving average.
Watch NEW Developing
V
Visa
2026-03-27 $295.52
Visa (V) is trading 4.0% below its 20-day moving average ($307.75). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MA
Mastercard
2026-03-27 $484.24
Mastercard (MA) is trading 4.0% below its 20-day moving average ($504.20). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
VGT
Vanguard Info Tech ETF
2026-03-27 $681.00
Vanguard Info Tech ETF (VGT) is trading 5.0% below its 20-day moving average ($717.10). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
DIA
SPDR Dow Jones ETF
2026-03-27 $451.39
SPDR Dow Jones ETF (DIA) is trading 3.6% below its 20-day moving average ($468.18). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
2026-03-27 $64.63
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is trading 8.4% below its 20-day moving average ($70.53). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
XOM
ExxonMobil
2026-03-27 $170.99
ExxonMobil (XOM) is trading 8.1% above its 20-day moving average ($158.14). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
AAPL
Apple
2026-03-27 $248.80
Apple (AAPL) is trading 2.4% below its 20-day moving average ($254.95). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MCD
McDonald's
2026-03-27 $305.90
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 3.6% below its 20-day moving average ($317.24). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
META
Meta Platforms
2026-03-26 $547.54
Meta Platforms (META) is trading 11.3% below its 20-day moving average ($617.07). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $617.07 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $617.07 moving average.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-26 $91.60
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MCD
McDonald's
2026-03-26 $308.93
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 3.0% below its 20-day moving average ($318.43). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Sell NEW Moderate
COP
ConocoPhillips
2026-03-26 $133.25
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading 9.1% above its 20-day moving average ($122.12). The stock appears overbought at 2 standard deviations from normal. A pullback toward $122.12 is likely. Consider taking profits or tightening stops. Fair value near $122.12.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-26 $328.43
Home Depot (HD) is trading 4.4% below its 20-day moving average ($343.41). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-26 $239.19
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 2.4% below its 20-day moving average ($245.04). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-25 $91.58
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-25 $241.33
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 1.8% below its 20-day moving average ($245.66). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-25 $33.98
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is trading 2.5% above its 20-day moving average ($33.15). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-25 $332.51
Home Depot (HD) is trading 3.6% below its 20-day moving average ($344.98). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-24 $91.59
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-24 $330.91
Home Depot (HD) is trading 4.4% below its 20-day moving average ($346.30). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
WMB
Williams Companies
2026-03-24 $74.46
Williams Companies (WMB) is trading 1.9% above its 20-day moving average ($73.07). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-24 $234.43
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 4.5% below its 20-day moving average ($245.42). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-03-24 $183.02
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 6.0% below its 20-day moving average ($194.81). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
XOM
ExxonMobil
2026-03-24 $165.38
ExxonMobil (XOM) is trading 6.6% above its 20-day moving average ($155.10). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-24 $239.67
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 2.6% below its 20-day moving average ($246.12). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ABBV
AbbVie
2026-03-24 $205.20
AbbVie (ABBV) is trading 5.9% below its 20-day moving average ($218.11). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-24 $33.93
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is trading 2.6% above its 20-day moving average ($33.06). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Reduce Exposure Strong
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-23 $33.71
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is trading 2.2% above its 20-day moving average ($32.97). Both frequency analysis and pattern matching detect a structural regime change. The stock's behavior has shifted in a way that has no recent historical precedent. Reduce position size until the new regime clarifies. Avoid new entries.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-23 $91.58
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-23 $330.90
Home Depot (HD) is trading 4.9% below its 20-day moving average ($347.91). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-23 $234.25
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 5.0% below its 20-day moving average ($246.57). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-23 $238.37
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 3.4% below its 20-day moving average ($246.80). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MCD
McDonald's
2026-03-23 $308.47
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 4.1% below its 20-day moving average ($321.56). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-20 $320.75
Home Depot (HD) is trading 8.3% below its 20-day moving average ($349.71). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $349.71 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $349.71 moving average.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-20 $224.63
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 9.4% below its 20-day moving average ($247.87). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-20 $91.57
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Moderate
BNUEX
UBS Intl Sustainable Equity P
2026-03-20 $12.06
UBS Intl Sustainable Equity P (BNUEX) is trading 4.9% below its 20-day moving average ($12.68). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
MCD
McDonald's
2026-03-20 $308.85
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 4.4% below its 20-day moving average ($322.93). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-20 $32.84
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
D
Dominion Energy
2026-03-20 $59.38
Dominion Energy (D) is trading 4.8% below its 20-day moving average ($62.35). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ABBV
AbbVie
2026-03-20 $205.07
AbbVie (ABBV) is trading 7.2% below its 20-day moving average ($221.00). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-20 $234.92
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 5.2% below its 20-day moving average ($247.68). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
MCD
McDonald's
2026-03-19 $309.58
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 4.6% below its 20-day moving average ($324.42). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-19 $91.54
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-19 $328.21
Home Depot (HD) is trading 7.0% below its 20-day moving average ($352.75). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ABBV
AbbVie
2026-03-19 $206.23
AbbVie (ABBV) is trading 7.4% below its 20-day moving average ($222.67). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-19 $234.18
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 6.0% below its 20-day moving average ($249.03). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
TSN
Tyson Foods
2026-03-19 $59.12
Tyson Foods (TSN) is trading 4.1% below its 20-day moving average ($61.64). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-19 $33.44
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is trading 1.6% above its 20-day moving average ($32.90). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-19 $229.71
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 8.2% below its 20-day moving average ($250.32). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
PG
Procter & Gamble
2026-03-19 $144.84
Procter & Gamble (PG) is trading 5.8% below its 20-day moving average ($153.72). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MCD
McDonald's
2026-03-18 $315.73
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 3.1% below its 20-day moving average ($325.98). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-18 $91.54
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-18 $231.09
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 8.5% below its 20-day moving average ($252.48). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-18 $330.93
Home Depot (HD) is trading 6.9% below its 20-day moving average ($355.34). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-18 $236.57
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 5.6% below its 20-day moving average ($250.59). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ABBV
AbbVie
2026-03-18 $208.34
AbbVie (ABBV) is trading 7.2% below its 20-day moving average ($224.41). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
PG
Procter & Gamble
2026-03-18 $146.71
Procter & Gamble (PG) is trading 5.1% below its 20-day moving average ($154.66). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
KO
Coca-Cola
2026-03-18 $75.97
Coca-Cola (KO) is trading 1.9% below its 20-day moving average ($77.45). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-17 $91.52
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
PFE
Pfizer
2026-03-17 $27.45
Pfizer (PFE) is trading 1.9% above its 20-day moving average ($26.93). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-17 $242.32
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 3.9% below its 20-day moving average ($252.06). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LLY
Eli Lilly
2026-03-17 $930.35
Eli Lilly (LLY) is trading 7.1% below its 20-day moving average ($1,001.16). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-16 $91.51
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-13 $91.51
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy NEW Moderate
WFC
Wells Fargo
2026-03-13 $74.10
Wells Fargo (WFC) is trading 9.6% below its 20-day moving average ($81.92). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $81.92 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $81.92 moving average.
Watch Developing
XOM
ExxonMobil
2026-03-13 $156.12
ExxonMobil (XOM) is trading 4.1% above its 20-day moving average ($149.94). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-13 $237.59
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 7.8% below its 20-day moving average ($257.81). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
COP
ConocoPhillips
2026-03-13 $121.89
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading 6.7% above its 20-day moving average ($114.29). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
XLE
Energy Select SPDR
2026-03-13 $57.70
Energy Select SPDR (XLE) is trading 3.8% above its 20-day moving average ($55.61). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-03-13 $192.83
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 1.9% below its 20-day moving average ($196.53). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Moderate
MS
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-12 $154.37
Morgan Stanley (MS) is trading 7.4% below its 20-day moving average ($166.75). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-03-12 $239.45
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 7.9% below its 20-day moving average ($259.94). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
HD
Home Depot
2026-03-12 $338.93
Home Depot (HD) is trading 6.8% below its 20-day moving average ($363.80). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
GS
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-12 $787.52
Goldman Sachs (GS) is trading 8.8% below its 20-day moving average ($863.29). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy NEW Moderate
BLK
BlackRock
2026-03-12 $922.90
BlackRock (BLK) is trading 9.6% below its 20-day moving average ($1,020.72). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $1,020.72 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $1,020.72 moving average.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-12 $91.48
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
XLE
Energy Select SPDR
2026-03-12 $57.51
Energy Select SPDR (XLE) is trading 3.8% above its 20-day moving average ($55.39). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
COP
ConocoPhillips
2026-03-12 $120.26
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading 6.0% above its 20-day moving average ($113.49). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
NKE
Nike
2026-03-12 $54.13
Nike (NKE) is trading 8.9% below its 20-day moving average ($59.45). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-11 $91.46
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-03-11 $194.13
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 1.3% below its 20-day moving average ($196.67). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
WFC
Wells Fargo
2026-03-11 $76.88
Wells Fargo (WFC) is trading 8.0% below its 20-day moving average ($83.54). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
PFE
Pfizer
2026-03-11 $27.30
Pfizer (PFE) is trading 1.3% above its 20-day moving average ($26.94). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
XLE
Energy Select SPDR
2026-03-11 $56.98
Energy Select SPDR (XLE) is trading 3.3% above its 20-day moving average ($55.17). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
PFE
Pfizer
2026-03-10 $27.16
Pfizer (PFE) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-03-10 $194.91
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 1.0% below its 20-day moving average ($196.94). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
BAC
Bank of America
2026-03-09 $47.90
Bank of America (BAC) is trading 5.9% below its 20-day moving average ($50.88). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
WFC
Wells Fargo
2026-03-09 $78.83
Wells Fargo (WFC) is trading 7.2% below its 20-day moving average ($84.92). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
BLK
BlackRock
2026-03-09 $957.67
BlackRock (BLK) is trading 8.5% below its 20-day moving average ($1,047.00). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $1,047.00 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $1,047.00 moving average.
Buy Moderate
BLK
BlackRock
2026-03-06 $955.45
BlackRock (BLK) is trading 9.6% below its 20-day moving average ($1,056.41). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $1,056.41 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $1,056.41 moving average.
Watch Developing
GS
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-06 $821.42
Goldman Sachs (GS) is trading 7.3% below its 20-day moving average ($885.86). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MS
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-06 $160.27
Morgan Stanley (MS) is trading 6.1% below its 20-day moving average ($170.70). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-05 $260.20
Union Pacific (UNP) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
WMT
Walmart
2026-03-05 $123.31
Walmart (WMT) is trading 2.0% below its 20-day moving average ($125.83). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
WMB
Williams Companies
2026-03-05 $74.77
Williams Companies (WMB) is trading 3.2% above its 20-day moving average ($72.44). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-03-04 $266.70
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 3.1% above its 20-day moving average ($258.79). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
TGT
Target
2026-03-03 $120.80
Target (TGT) is trading 6.3% above its 20-day moving average ($113.66). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill
2026-03-03 $91.40
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) is near its 20-day moving average. Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
WMB
Williams Companies
2026-03-03 $75.88
Williams Companies (WMB) is trading 5.7% above its 20-day moving average ($71.82). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-03 $33.96
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is trading 5.7% above its 20-day moving average ($32.12). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Reduce Exposure Moderate
PFE
Pfizer
2026-03-03 $26.58
Pfizer (PFE) is trading 1.3% below its 20-day moving average ($26.92). Both frequency analysis and pattern matching detect a structural regime change. The stock's behavior has shifted in a way that has no recent historical precedent. Reduce position size until the new regime clarifies. Avoid new entries.
Watch Moderate
BG
Bunge Global
2026-03-03 $116.62
Bunge Global (BG) is trading 1.5% below its 20-day moving average ($118.43). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway B
2026-03-02 $480.17
Berkshire Hathaway B (BRK-B) is trading 3.1% below its 20-day moving average ($495.62). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
WMB
Williams Companies
2026-03-02 $75.72
Williams Companies (WMB) is trading 6.8% above its 20-day moving average ($70.88). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
KMI
Kinder Morgan
2026-03-02 $33.89
Kinder Morgan (KMI) is trading 6.3% above its 20-day moving average ($31.89). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-03-02 $1.82
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 16.6% below its 20-day moving average ($2.18). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LMT
Lockheed Martin
2026-03-02 $676.70
Lockheed Martin (LMT) is trading 6.2% above its 20-day moving average ($636.91). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Sell Moderate
COP
ConocoPhillips
2026-03-02 $118.24
ConocoPhillips (COP) is trading 8.5% above its 20-day moving average ($108.98). The stock appears overbought at 2 standard deviations from normal. A pullback toward $108.98 is likely. Consider taking profits or tightening stops. Fair value near $108.98.
Watch Developing
BAC
Bank of America
2026-03-02 $49.53
Bank of America (BAC) is trading 4.9% below its 20-day moving average ($52.07). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
XOM
ExxonMobil
2026-03-02 $154.22
ExxonMobil (XOM) is trading 4.8% above its 20-day moving average ($147.19). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Long NEW Moderate
NFLX
Netflix
2026-02-27 $96.24
Netflix (NFLX) is trading 16.8% above its 20-day moving average ($82.38). Upward momentum is accelerating with multiple detection methods confirming the move. Consider a momentum-based long position with a trailing stop below the trend line.
Watch Moderate
MCD
McDonald's
2026-02-27 $339.17
McDonald's (MCD) is trading 4.1% above its 20-day moving average ($325.84). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-27 $1.81
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 18.5% below its 20-day moving average ($2.22). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
WFC
Wells Fargo
2026-02-27 $81.45
Wells Fargo (WFC) is trading 7.2% below its 20-day moving average ($87.73). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
PG
Procter & Gamble
2026-02-27 $167.20
Procter & Gamble (PG) is trading 4.9% above its 20-day moving average ($159.38). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MS
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-27 $166.51
Morgan Stanley (MS) is trading 4.7% below its 20-day moving average ($174.71). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MRK
Merck
2026-02-27 $122.91
Merck (MRK) is trading 3.8% above its 20-day moving average ($118.41). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
2026-02-27 $248.43
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is trading 4.0% above its 20-day moving average ($238.91). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
BAC
Bank of America
2026-02-27 $49.55
Bank of America (BAC) is trading 5.3% below its 20-day moving average ($52.34). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
GS
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-27 $855.07
Goldman Sachs (GS) is trading 6.1% below its 20-day moving average ($910.79). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
KO
Coca-Cola
2026-02-27 $81.56
Coca-Cola (KO) is trading 3.9% above its 20-day moving average ($78.48). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
NEE
NextEra Energy
2026-02-27 $93.77
NextEra Energy (NEE) is trading 3.4% above its 20-day moving average ($90.72). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
TSN
Tyson Foods
2026-02-27 $64.99
Tyson Foods (TSN) is trading 2.9% above its 20-day moving average ($63.14). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
NVDA
NVIDIA
2026-02-27 $177.19
NVIDIA (NVDA) is trading 5.1% below its 20-day moving average ($186.74). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-26 $1.92
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 15.2% below its 20-day moving average ($2.26). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-02-26 $199.47
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 1.4% above its 20-day moving average ($196.77). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
2026-02-26 $243.47
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is trading 2.3% above its 20-day moving average ($237.91). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-25 $41.04
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 9.4% below its 20-day moving average ($45.30). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
LOW
Lowe's
2026-02-25 $263.02
Lowe's (LOW) is trading 4.6% below its 20-day moving average ($275.66). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-02-25 $191.75
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 2.4% below its 20-day moving average ($196.49). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-24 $40.50
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 11.5% below its 20-day moving average ($45.75). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
CRM
Salesforce
2026-02-24 $185.42
Salesforce (CRM) is trading 5.9% below its 20-day moving average ($196.99). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
NEE
NextEra Energy
2026-02-24 $95.03
NextEra Energy (NEE) is trading 5.8% above its 20-day moving average ($89.86). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
V
Visa
2026-02-24 $307.22
Visa (V) is trading 4.6% below its 20-day moving average ($322.10). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
MA
Mastercard
2026-02-24 $498.00
Mastercard (MA) is trading 5.7% below its 20-day moving average ($528.08). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Sell Moderate
DE
Deere & Company
2026-02-24 $644.54
Deere & Company (DE) is trading 8.6% above its 20-day moving average ($593.48). The stock appears overbought at 2 standard deviations from normal. A pullback toward $593.48 is likely. Consider taking profits or tightening stops. Fair value near $593.48.
Watch Developing
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-23 $40.94
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 11.6% below its 20-day moving average ($46.30). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
V
Visa
2026-02-23 $306.52
Visa (V) is trading 5.3% below its 20-day moving average ($323.67). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
XLF
Financial Select SPDR
2026-02-23 $50.73
Financial Select SPDR (XLF) is trading 4.0% below its 20-day moving average ($52.82). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Developing
LLY
Eli Lilly
2026-02-23 $1058.56
Eli Lilly (LLY) is trading 2.0% above its 20-day moving average ($1,037.48). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
2026-02-23 $297.67
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is trading 3.7% below its 20-day moving average ($309.06). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
MAN
ManpowerGroup
2026-02-23 $26.13
ManpowerGroup (MAN) is trading 14.9% below its 20-day moving average ($30.70). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $30.70 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $30.70 moving average.
Sell NEW Moderate
DE
Deere & Company
2026-02-20 $660.56
Deere & Company (DE) is trading 13.8% above its 20-day moving average ($580.22). The stock appears overbought at 2 standard deviations from normal. A pullback toward $580.22 is likely. Consider taking profits or tightening stops. Fair value near $580.22.
Watch Developing
HON
Honeywell
2026-02-20 $242.76
Honeywell (HON) is trading 4.3% above its 20-day moving average ($232.77). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-20 $2.35
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 4.3% above its 20-day moving average ($2.25). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-19 $2.11
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 5.9% below its 20-day moving average ($2.24). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-18 $1.99
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 11.8% below its 20-day moving average ($2.26). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-18 $43.12
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 8.8% below its 20-day moving average ($47.31). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MSFT
Microsoft
2026-02-18 $398.69
Microsoft (MSFT) is trading 5.4% below its 20-day moving average ($421.33). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
UNP
Union Pacific
2026-02-18 $263.62
Union Pacific (UNP) is trading 6.2% above its 20-day moving average ($248.23). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-17 $1.79
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 21.7% below its 20-day moving average ($2.29). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-17 $41.25
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 13.6% below its 20-day moving average ($47.75). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MSFT
Microsoft
2026-02-17 $396.86
Microsoft (MSFT) is trading 6.5% below its 20-day moving average ($424.69). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
^NDX
Nasdaq-100
2026-02-17 $24701.60
Nasdaq-100 (^NDX) is trading 1.9% below its 20-day moving average ($25,180.24). Detection methods flagged this because price pattern is unprecedented, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
COST
Costco
2026-02-17 $1012.05
Costco (COST) is trading 3.7% above its 20-day moving average ($976.36). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
D
Dominion Energy
2026-02-17 $64.96
Dominion Energy (D) is trading 4.9% above its 20-day moving average ($61.93). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
MCK
McKesson
2026-02-17 $945.68
McKesson (MCK) is trading 6.1% above its 20-day moving average ($891.17). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Strong
WMT
Walmart
2026-02-13 $133.62
Walmart (WMT) is trading 7.2% above its 20-day moving average ($124.69). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-13 $1.73
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 26.0% below its 20-day moving average ($2.34). The stock appears oversold at 2 standard deviations from normal. Mean-reversion toward $2.34 is likely. Consider entering a long position targeting the $2.34 moving average.
Buy Moderate
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-13 $41.43
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 14.4% below its 20-day moving average ($48.43). Selling pressure is fading, suggesting a potential bounce back toward the trend line. Consider entering a long position targeting the $48.43 moving average.
Watch NEW Developing
COST
Costco
2026-02-13 $1018.48
Costco (COST) is trading 4.7% above its 20-day moving average ($972.60). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch NEW Moderate
D
Dominion Energy
2026-02-13 $65.81
Dominion Energy (D) is trading 6.8% above its 20-day moving average ($61.61). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
MSFT
Microsoft
2026-02-13 $401.32
Microsoft (MSFT) is trading 6.2% below its 20-day moving average ($427.61). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
AMZN
Amazon
2026-02-13 $198.79
Amazon (AMZN) is trading 10.4% below its 20-day moving average ($221.88). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Sell Moderate
CAT
Caterpillar
2026-02-13 $774.20
Caterpillar (CAT) is trading 10.9% above its 20-day moving average ($698.14). The stock appears overbought at 2 standard deviations from normal. A pullback toward $698.14 is likely. Consider taking profits or tightening stops. Fair value near $698.14.
Watch Moderate
NSC
Norfolk Southern
2026-02-13 $314.94
Norfolk Southern (NSC) is trading 4.5% above its 20-day moving average ($301.27). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Strong
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2026-02-12 $1.69
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) is trading 29.6% below its 20-day moving average ($2.40). Selling pressure is fading, suggesting a potential bounce back toward the trend line. Consider entering a long position targeting the $2.40 moving average.
Watch NEW Strong
WMT
Walmart
2026-02-12 $133.37
Walmart (WMT) is trading 7.8% above its 20-day moving average ($123.75). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted and statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Buy Moderate
ASGN
ASGN Inc.
2026-02-12 $41.85
ASGN Inc. (ASGN) is trading 14.9% below its 20-day moving average ($49.17). Selling pressure is fading, suggesting a potential bounce back toward the trend line. Consider entering a long position targeting the $49.17 moving average.
Watch Developing
MSFT
Microsoft
2026-02-12 $400.92
Microsoft (MSFT) is trading 6.6% below its 20-day moving average ($429.40). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
2026-02-12 $68.45
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is trading 8.0% below its 20-day moving average ($74.40). Detection methods flagged this because anomaly score is elevated, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Moderate
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
2026-02-12 $243.26
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is trading 6.2% above its 20-day moving average ($229.02). Detection methods flagged this because statistical tests flag unusual behavior, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
Watch Developing
^NDX
Nasdaq-100
2026-02-12 $24687.61
Nasdaq-100 (^NDX) is trading 2.4% below its 20-day moving average ($25,283.04). Detection methods flagged this because trading rhythm has shifted, but no clear directional signal has emerged yet. Monitor for follow-through before taking a position.
03 Ticker Deep Dive

Select a ticker to see its full price chart with signal markers, trend line, and all four detection methods broken down individually. Red dots on the chart = flagged anomaly days. The four panels below show exactly why each method did or didn't fire.

Fourier — Rhythm shift ?
Matrix Profile — Novel pattern ?
Ensemble — Statistical consensus ?
EWMA — Momentum deviation ?
04 Signal Performance — Proof of Concept ?

"Does this actually work?" We start with $10k in every ticker on day one (BASELINE). When THE SIGNAL fires, it's another $10k trade on top: BUY/LONG = $10k long, SELL/SHORT = $10k short. Every position, every outcome. No cherry-picking.

Following THE SIGNAL over 2025-04-03 — 2026-04-02: +22.9% return — $+204,006.49 across 89 trades
89 trades × $10k each • 77 winning • $890,000 deployed
+22.9%
Overall Return
$+204,006
Total $ Gain
89
Trades
87%
Win Rate

Trade Ledger

Date Ticker Action Signal Price Current $ P&L % Methods
2026-04-02 Nike (NKE) BUY $44.19 $44.19 $-0.00 -0.0% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-04-01 Nike (NKE) BUY $44.63 $44.19 $-98.59 -1.0% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-27 Meta Platforms (META) BUY $525.72 $574.46 $+927.11 +9.3% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-27 Starbucks (SBUX) BUY $86.81 $90.37 $+410.09 +4.1% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-26 Meta Platforms (META) BUY $547.54 $574.46 $+491.65 +4.9% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-26 ConocoPhillips (COP) SELL $133.25 $130.52 $+204.88 +2.0% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-20 Home Depot (HD) BUY $320.75 $321.63 $+27.44 +0.3% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-13 Wells Fargo (WFC) BUY $74.10 $80.60 $+877.19 +8.8% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-12 BlackRock (BLK) BUY $922.90 $966.56 $+473.07 +4.7% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-09 BlackRock (BLK) BUY $957.67 $966.56 $+92.83 +0.9% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-06 BlackRock (BLK) BUY $955.45 $966.56 $+116.28 +1.2% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-03-02 ConocoPhillips (COP) SELL $118.24 $130.52 $-1,038.57 -10.4% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-02-27 Netflix (NFLX) LONG $96.24 $98.66 $+251.46 +2.5% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-02-24 Deere & Company (DE) SELL $644.54 $575.71 $+1,067.89 +10.7% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-02-20 Deere & Company (DE) SELL $660.56 $575.71 $+1,284.52 +12.8% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2026-02-13 Caterpillar (CAT) SELL $774.20 $717.22 $+735.99 +7.4% Fourier, MatrixProfile, Ensemble, EWMA
2025-04-03 Apple (AAPL) BASELINE $202.31 $255.92 $+2,650.00 +26.5%
2025-04-03 AbbVie (ABBV) BASELINE $195.10 $208.84 $+704.51 +7.0%
2025-04-03 Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) BASELINE $45.95 $73.83 $+6,067.69 +60.7%
2025-04-03 AMD (AMD) BASELINE $93.80 $217.50 $+13,187.63 +131.9%
2025-04-03 Amgen (AMGN) BASELINE $300.42 $347.94 $+1,581.60 +15.8%
2025-04-03 Amazon (AMZN) BASELINE $178.41 $209.77 $+1,757.75 +17.6%
2025-04-03 ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) BASELINE $45.12 $68.56 $+5,195.04 +52.0%
2025-04-03 Bank of America (BAC) BASELINE $36.40 $49.38 $+3,565.46 +35.6%
2025-04-03 Bunge Global (BG) BASELINE $75.86 $129.42 $+7,060.62 +70.6%
2025-04-03 SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) BASELINE $87.91 $91.42 $+399.44 +4.0%
2025-04-03 BlackRock (BLK) BASELINE $869.73 $966.56 $+1,113.38 +11.1%
2025-04-03 Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) BASELINE $54.48 $59.60 $+940.23 +9.4%
2025-04-03 UBS Intl Sustainable Equity P (BNUEX) BASELINE $10.01 $12.51 $+2,494.52 +24.9%
2025-04-03 Berkshire Hathaway B (BRK-B) BASELINE $530.16 $477.35 $-996.11 -10.0%
2025-04-03 Citigroup (C) BASELINE $61.45 $115.25 $+8,754.32 +87.5%
2025-04-03 Caterpillar (CAT) BASELINE $301.61 $717.22 $+13,779.72 +137.8%
2025-04-03 ConocoPhillips (COP) BASELINE $92.10 $130.52 $+4,172.24 +41.7%
2025-04-03 Costco (COST) BASELINE $961.81 $1014.96 $+552.62 +5.5%
2025-04-03 Salesforce (CRM) BASELINE $253.57 $187.18 $-2,618.35 -26.2%
2025-04-03 Chevron (CVX) BASELINE $149.40 $198.97 $+3,318.22 +33.2%
2025-04-03 Dominion Energy (D) BASELINE $53.76 $62.77 $+1,676.01 +16.8%
2025-04-03 Deere & Company (DE) BASELINE $441.66 $575.71 $+3,035.09 +30.4%
2025-04-03 SPDR Dow Jones ETF (DIA) BASELINE $399.00 $465.06 $+1,655.78 +16.6%
2025-04-03 UBS US Dividend Ruler P (DVRUX) BASELINE $13.05 $16.84 $+2,908.81 +29.1%
2025-04-03 GE Aerospace (GE) BASELINE $186.64 $281.16 $+5,064.13 +50.6%
2025-04-03 Alphabet (GOOGL) BASELINE $150.20 $295.77 $+9,691.85 +96.9%
2025-04-03 Goldman Sachs (GS) BASELINE $500.85 $863.04 $+7,231.37 +72.3%
2025-04-03 Home Depot (HD) BASELINE $347.14 $321.63 $-734.74 -7.3%
2025-04-03 Honeywell (HON) BASELINE $190.71 $229.45 $+2,031.44 +20.3%
2025-04-03 iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) BASELINE $187.63 $251.29 $+3,392.99 +33.9%
2025-04-03 Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) BASELINE $155.49 $243.04 $+5,630.81 +56.3%
2025-04-03 JPMorgan Chase (JPM) BASELINE $224.10 $294.60 $+3,146.21 +31.5%
2025-04-03 Kinder Morgan (KMI) BASELINE $26.57 $32.97 $+2,407.21 +24.1%
2025-04-03 Coca-Cola (KO) BASELINE $71.12 $76.72 $+787.65 +7.9%
2025-04-03 Eli Lilly (LLY) BASELINE $783.29 $935.58 $+1,944.23 +19.4%
2025-04-03 Lockheed Martin (LMT) BASELINE $442.69 $622.79 $+4,068.44 +40.7%
2025-04-03 Lowe's (LOW) BASELINE $218.12 $231.03 $+591.68 +5.9%
2025-04-03 Mastercard (MA) BASELINE $527.50 $493.44 $-645.76 -6.5%
2025-04-03 McDonald's (MCD) BASELINE $311.07 $307.14 $-126.45 -1.3%
2025-04-03 McKesson (MCK) BASELINE $714.11 $884.28 $+2,383.00 +23.8%
2025-04-03 Meta Platforms (META) BASELINE $529.97 $574.46 $+839.55 +8.4%
2025-04-03 Merck (MRK) BASELINE $83.36 $120.87 $+4,499.46 +45.0%
2025-04-03 Morgan Stanley (MS) BASELINE $105.11 $165.81 $+5,775.00 +57.8%
2025-04-03 Microsoft (MSFT) BASELINE $370.28 $373.46 $+86.01 +0.9%
2025-04-03 NextEra Energy (NEE) BASELINE $70.06 $93.15 $+3,296.41 +33.0%
2025-04-03 Netflix (NFLX) BASELINE $91.71 $98.66 $+758.41 +7.6%
2025-04-03 Nike (NKE) BASELINE $54.22 $44.19 $-1,849.77 -18.5%
2025-04-03 Norfolk Southern (NSC) BASELINE $216.33 $288.00 $+3,312.98 +33.1%
2025-04-03 NVIDIA (NVDA) BASELINE $101.78 $177.39 $+7,429.45 +74.3%
2025-04-03 Oracle (ORCL) BASELINE $135.85 $146.38 $+774.85 +7.8%
2025-04-03 PepsiCo (PEP) BASELINE $145.54 $157.01 $+788.09 +7.9%
2025-04-03 Pfizer (PFE) BASELINE $22.65 $28.32 $+2,505.41 +25.1%
2025-04-03 Procter & Gamble (PG) BASELINE $167.79 $143.12 $-1,470.06 -14.7%
2025-04-03 UBS US Quality Growth P (QGRPX) BASELINE $13.57 $16.80 $+2,384.35 +23.8%
2025-04-03 Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq 100) (QQQ) BASELINE $448.49 $584.98 $+3,043.35 +30.4%
2025-04-03 Starbucks (SBUX) BASELINE $85.89 $90.37 $+521.58 +5.2%
2025-04-03 Charles Schwab (SCHW) BASELINE $73.96 $93.77 $+2,678.47 +26.8%
2025-04-03 SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) BASELINE $530.62 $655.83 $+2,359.76 +23.6%
2025-04-03 Target (TGT) BASELINE $90.15 $120.45 $+3,361.13 +33.6%
2025-04-03 Tesla (TSLA) BASELINE $267.28 $360.59 $+3,491.10 +34.9%
2025-04-03 Tyson Foods (TSN) BASELINE $61.39 $64.63 $+528.15 +5.3%
2025-04-03 UnitedHealth Group (UNH) BASELINE $525.62 $277.26 $-4,725.07 -47.2%
2025-04-03 Union Pacific (UNP) BASELINE $218.81 $244.71 $+1,183.71 +11.8%
2025-04-03 Visa (V) BASELINE $336.87 $300.80 $-1,070.71 -10.7%
2025-04-03 Vanguard Info Tech ETF (VGT) BASELINE $509.31 $712.65 $+3,992.38 +39.9%
2025-04-03 Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) BASELINE $488.31 $602.99 $+2,348.60 +23.5%
2025-04-03 Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) BASELINE $260.88 $323.76 $+2,410.48 +24.1%
2025-04-03 Wells Fargo (WFC) BASELINE $64.27 $80.60 $+2,539.92 +25.4%
2025-04-03 Williams Companies (WMB) BASELINE $57.16 $72.00 $+2,596.68 +26.0%
2025-04-03 Walmart (WMT) BASELINE $86.49 $125.79 $+4,543.46 +45.4%
2025-04-03 Energy Select SPDR (XLE) BASELINE $42.02 $59.25 $+4,100.11 +41.0%
2025-04-03 Financial Select SPDR (XLF) BASELINE $46.96 $49.53 $+546.20 +5.5%
2025-04-03 ExxonMobil (XOM) BASELINE $108.70 $160.69 $+4,783.53 +47.8%

Simplified simulation for educational purposes only. Each signal = $10k trade. No slippage, commissions, or market impact modeled. Not financial advice. Past performance does not predict future results. This is NOT financial advice.

How Signals Are Derived

Four independent detection methods analyze each stock daily. When anomalies are detected, they're translated into actionable signals. No single method controls the outcome — consensus is the signal.

  • Buy / Sell — mean-reversion: price extended from trend, momentum fading
  • Long / Short — momentum: breakout with accelerating force
  • Reduce — regime change: both Fourier and Matrix Profile flag structural shift
  • Watch — anomaly detected but awaiting directional confirmation

Confidence: Strong (3-4 methods agree), Moderate (2), Developing (1 with high score).

Technical Details

1. Fourier Transform — Frequency-Domain Structural Change

Decomposes price into frequency components. When energy distribution shifts from baseline:

D(local, baseline) = 0.5 * Σ [ local * log(local/baseline) + baseline * log(baseline/local) ]

2. Matrix Profile — Subsequence Novelty Detection

For every 10-day window, finds the best historical match. If poor → genuinely novel pattern.

3. Statistical Ensemble

ensemble = 0.4 * zscore + 0.3 * seasonal_residual + 0.3 * isolation_forest

4. EWMA Trend — Momentum Deviation

Classifies trajectory: breakout (>80% range), accelerating (slope >0.02), decelerating, normal.

Consensus

consensus = 0.20*fourier + 0.25*matrix_profile + 0.30*ensemble + 0.25*ewma

Flagged when 2+ methods agree OR consensus exceeds the 97.5th percentile.

Learn: Educational Resources